By Sarah Sam Adda
The World Bank has commended Nigeria for making progress in stabilizing its economy through bold reforms but warned that high food prices and persistent poverty continue to erode living standards.
In a report released on Wednesday, the Bank noted improvements in growth, revenue generation, and external balances following the removal of fuel subsidies, naira devaluation, and ongoing tax reforms.
It, however, cautioned that food inflation remains a major threat to household welfare, particularly among the poor.
Nigeria’s economy expanded by 3.9% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, up from 3.5% in the same period last year, driven by the services and non-oil sectors, as well as a rebound in oil production and agriculture.
Foreign reserves rose above $42 billion, while the current account surplus widened to 6.1% of GDP.
Despite lower oil prices, Nigeria’s fiscal deficit is projected to remain at 2.6% of GDP in 2025, with public debt expected to decline from 42.9% to 39.8% of GDP, its first drop in over a decade.
“The Nigerian government has taken bold steps to stabilize the economy, and these efforts are beginning to yield results,” said Mathew Verghis, World Bank Country Director for Nigeria. “The true measure of success will be how these reforms improve the daily lives of Nigerians, especially the poor.”
The report observed that the cost of a basic food basket has risen fivefold since 2019, with low-income households spending up to 70% of their earnings on food.
It urged the government to remove trade barriers, fix supply chain bottlenecks, strengthen fiscal transparency, and expand social protection through regular, domestically funded cash transfers.
Looking ahead, the Bank projects Nigeria’s GDP to grow by 4.2% in 2025 and 4.4% by 2027, driven by services, agriculture, and non-oil industries, even as inflation remains high.
“Food inflation is the biggest tax on the poor,” said Samer Matta, the Bank’s Senior Economist for Nigeria.