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Nigeria’s Economy’ll Hit $1.85tn By 2029, IMF Predicts

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The International Monetary Fund has predicted that Nigeria’s economy will reach $1.85tn by 2029, in Purchasing Power Parity terms.

This forecast suggests a significant growth trajectory for the country’s economy over the next five years.

According to the IMF data obtained by PUNCH Online, Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product in PPP terms has been steadily increasing, from $1.36tn in 2023 to $1.852tn in 2029.

GDP is the most commonly used single measure of a country’s overall economic activity. PPP is a theory that relates changes in exchange rates to changes in price levels between countries, allowing for more accurate international comparisons of economic data.

The data shows a consistent growth trend, with a notable increase of 5.5 per cent expected in 2029.

The Fund also predicted Nigeria’s share of global GDP based on PPP to reach 0.78 per cent by 2029.

This represents a slight increase from 0.77 per cent in 2023, indicating a steady growth trajectory for the country’s economy.

The data suggests that Nigeria’s economy is gradually expanding, albeit slowly, and is expected to continue this trend over the next five years.

The country’s share of global GDP has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.775 per cent and 0.778 per cent from 2024 to 2028.

Economists believe that this positive outlook is a testament to the country’s efforts to diversify its economy, invest in infrastructure, and promote foreign investment.

Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy, has faced significant challenges in recent years, including a recession in 2020 caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and a decline in oil prices.

Economist Shadrach Israel in an interview with our correspondent stated, “The IMF reports indicated that the government’s reforms and initiatives have contributed to the country’s economic growth.”

The trend of Nigeria’s GDP in PPP terms over the past few years indicates a steady recovery and growth. In 2024, the country’s GDP in PPP terms stood at $1.44tn, increasing to $1.51tn in 2025, and $1.587tn in 2026. The growth continued in 2027, with a GDP (PPP) of $1.67tn, and $1.759tn in 2028.

“The IMF’s prediction of Nigeria’s economic growth is a positive sign for the country’s future, indicating a potential for increased economic prosperity and development,” Israel noted.

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Business

Telecom Operators Reject NLC’s Demand for Tariff Reduction, Justify 50% Hike

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By Emmanuel Ogbodo

Nigeria’s Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) have rejected calls from the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) to negotiate a reduction in the recent 50% tariff increase, insisting the hike is necessary for the industry’s sustainability amid rising operational costs.

The NLC, opposing the adjustment, has demanded a rollback to 5% and threatened a nationwide protest on Tuesday, February 4, if its demands are not met.

The union described the increase as “insensitive and unjustifiable,” warning it would further strain Nigerian consumers.

At a weekend forum in Lagos, representatives from the Association of Licensed Telecommunications Operators of Nigeria (ALTON) and major telecom firms, including MTN Nigeria, Airtel Nigeria, and 9mobile, defended the hike.

ALTON Chairman Gbenga Adebayo likened the increase to a “lifeline” for the industry, arguing that anything lower would cripple operations.

MTN Nigeria’s Chief Corporate Services & Sustainability Officer, Tobechukwu Okigbo, clarified that operators do not engage directly with the NLC, as ALTON manages industry-wide negotiations.

Airtel Nigeria’s Director of Corporate Communications and CSR, Femi Adeniran, added that discussions with labour unions fall under the purview of government agencies and ALTON.

The Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), which approved the tariff adjustment on January 20, 2025, defended the move, citing inflation, foreign exchange volatility, and rising energy costs.

The commission emphasized that the decision aligns with its mandate under the Nigerian Communications Act, 2003, to ensure telecom sector viability.

Despite these justifications, the NLC remains firm in its opposition. Union President Joe Ajaero reiterated the demand for a significant reduction, warning of nationwide protests if the hike is not reversed.

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Dangote Refinery Reduces Petrol Price to N890 Per Litre

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By Alexis Uchendu

Dangote Petroleum Refinery has announced a reduction in the ex-depot price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, from N950 to N890 per litre, effective February 1, 2025.

The company attributed the price adjustment to a favorable shift in global energy markets and a decline in international crude oil prices.

This follows a previous price hike on January 19, driven by rising crude costs.

Dangote Refinery expressed optimism that the price cut will lower fuel costs nationwide, ease the cost of living, and positively impact key economic sectors.

The company also urged fuel marketers to reflect the reduction at retail stations, ensuring consumers benefit from the adjustment as part of broader economic recovery efforts led by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Reaffirming its commitment to Nigeria’s self-sufficiency in refined petroleum products, the refinery pledged to strengthen the country’s position as a leading oil export hub in Africa.

 

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Naira Gains Against Dollar Amid CBN Reforms

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By Adenike Lawal

The Naira appreciated by 0.78% at the official market on Wednesday, trading at N1,510.72 per dollar, an N11.96 gain from the previous day’s rate of N1,522.68, according to FMDQ Securities Exchange data.

Since December 2024, the Naira has remained relatively stable, largely due to ongoing reforms by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

On Tuesday, the apex bank introduced additional measures, including a waiver on the 2025 annual license renewal fee for Bureau De Change (BDC), operators and the launch of the Nigeria Foreign Exchange (FX), Code to enhance transparency in forex transactions.

Dr. Aminu Gwadabe, President of the Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), praised the CBN’s initiatives, urging continued support for policies that strengthen the local currency.

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